Early Signal Radar for Futurists + Enterprise Strategy Teams

Technology advances faster than society adapts. The Horizon Signal Report tracks what’s being funded, standardized, filed, and procured—then translates it into watch conditions and pre-controls so leaders can act before surprises scale.

Shared language, shared stories, and deployable safeguards for human flourishing.


What it is

The Horizon Signals Report is a weekly early-signal brief built for people who live one layer upstream of “the news”:

  • Funding intent (DARPA + ARPA agencies + NSF/NASA + equivalents)
  • Standards formation (NIST / ISO / IEEE / IETF and other controls scaffolding)
  • Research frontier (high-signal preprints and peer-reviewed work)
  • Commercial intent (patents, filings, and procurement patterns)

You don’t just get “cool futures.” You get:

  • Watch conditions: what would make a signal real
  • Pre-controls: small reversible actions you can take now
  • Graduation triggers: when a signal becomes Daily Brief / enterprise-risk material

Who it’s for

  • Futurists & foresight teams: disciplined scanning without hype
  • Enterprise strategy & innovation: invest, partner, pilot with better timing
  • CISOs / risk leaders: “tomorrow’s controls” before they become requirements
  • Policy & governance leaders: where standards and incentives are forming
  • Product leaders: where capability is headed, not just where it is

What you get

Each weekly issue includes:

1) 5–10 curated signals

Each signal is tagged with:

  • Horizon: 90 / 180 / 365 / 730 days
  • Maturity stage: concept → funded intent → prototype → standardizing → commercializing → scaling
  • Triad gap scores: Science/Tech | Human | Ethics/Gov
  • Confidence: relevance confidence (not “certainty”)

2) Watch conditions (3+ per signal)

Concrete triggers that tell you when to move from “monitor” to “act.”

3) Pre-controls (Action Taxonomy)

Each signal includes 1–3 actions from:
Protect, Prepare, Pilot, Prove, People, Policy, Portfolio
(Designed to be reversible until the signal matures.)

4) Graduation list (bridge to Daily Brief)

Signals that are close to becoming near-term enterprise risk.

5) Controls seeds (for your Controls Library)

A short list of candidate safeguards you can standardize and reuse.


How it works (the method)

We run early-signal scouting as a disciplined evidence workflow, not a vibes exercise.

Source discipline

Every signal must have:

  1. A primary anchor (agency / standards / patent / filing / procurement)
  2. Independent confirmation (another primary or reputable synthesis)
  3. Context (major press or established research org)

No single source family is allowed to dominate the issue.

No-hype rule

We describe what is funded / drafted / filed / proposed / demonstrated—and separate that from what we infer.


Sample signal entry

Signal #4 — “Verifiable Screening Becomes Default Infrastructure”

  • Category: Biosecurity / Synbio operations
  • Horizon: D180
  • Stage: S1 — Funded intent (policy + implementation pathways)
  • Pattern Label: Verification Gap
  • What’s new (fact): Federal direction is converging on verifiable DNA synthesis screening.
  • Why it matters: Treating sequences as regulated artifacts turns labs and vendors into compliance supply chains.
  • Watch conditions:
    • Agency guidance becomes enforceable procurement language
    • Major synthesis providers publish audit-ready attestations
    • Standards bodies define “screening evidence” formats
  • Pre-controls:
    • Prepare: screening requirements checklist for vendors/partners
    • Prove: evidence binder template: logging, escalation, false positives
    • People: training: “sequence handling” and transmission approvals
  • Triad gap: 7.5 | 6.0 | 8.0
  • Confidence: Med-High
  • Sources: (Primary / Confirm / Context links)

How it fits with the rest of Balance the Triangle Labs

Daily Brief (Now)

  • D0–D90: what changed this week + what to do next.

Horizon Signals Report (Next)

  • D90–D730: what’s forming upstream + when it becomes real.

SpiralWatch (Prove It)

  • SpiralWatch 1.6 provides pressure-aware assurance for human-facing AI, enforcing Stop Ladder behavior and PASS/FAIL certification with evidence packs.

Daily Brief (now) → Horizon Signals (next) → SpiralWatch (prove it).


Formats and delivery

  • Email / PDF / web post (your choice)
  • Archive-ready issues (easy to search, cite, and reuse)
  • Optional: a structured “meta” file for teams that want computable histories

Pricing

Coming Soon

  • Individual (weekly issue)
  • Team (shared access + quarterly briefing call)
  • Enterprise (custom watchlist + integration with your Controls Library / SpiralWatch)

FAQ

Is this “predictions”?
No. It’s a disciplined scan of intent + infrastructure formation, with explicit watch conditions.

How is this different from tech news?
News reports what happened. HSR tracks what’s being funded, standardized, and filed—then translates it into controls and decision triggers.

Will this overlap with the Daily Brief?
Only when a signal “graduates” into near-term enterprise risk.


Shared language, shared stories, and deployable safeguards for human flourishing.
If your job is to see around corners—and still stay rigorous—this report is built for you.